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Numerous species face redistribution and compression of habitat due to climate change. Compounded with anthropogenic stressors, coastal systems are among those experiencing the largest shifts in distribution and degradation of habitats. We coupled long-term movement and environmental data to assess how a freshwater species responds to changes in a coastal refuge habitat to quantify distributional changes, identify key environmental variables, and provide restoration targets. Salinity, variation in salinity, and stage of surrounding marsh habitat were the most important variables driving Florida bass (Micropterus salmoides) occurrence in the estuary. Salinity below 8.7 ppt had the largest positive effect on Florida bass occurrence, while low levels of daily variation in salinity (< 1.3 SD) and marsh stages between 11.4 and 27.7 cm were associated with an increased probability of Florida bass occurrence. Years with above average freshwater inputs that shifted mesohaline boundaries downstream generated 15.3 km2 of both core and conditional habitat for Florida bass, average conditions generated 4.4 km2 of core and conditional habitat, whereas dry conditions compressed Florida bass habitat to 1.7 km2. These results suggest that varying environmental scenarios can shift the amount of suitable habitat available for freshwater species using conditional coastal habitats. Our study provides salinity and marsh depth thresholds that offer actionable management targets to maximize the presence of Florida bass in coastal rivers, with population and fishing quality benefits. Climate change will likely result in large-scale reductions of critical dry season habitat for these species, while restoration efforts and adaptive management can bolster the resiliency of these habitats. 

Changes of consumers’ trophic niches, the n-dimensional biotic space that allows a species to satisfy its minimum requirements for population growth, are driven in part by shifts in the degree of individual resource use specialization within a population. Individual specialization results from complex trade-offs in inter- and intraspecific competition as organisms reduce niche overlap within a population or with heterospecifics. It is vital to build empirical knowledge on the trophic niche dynamics of consumers, given the role that niche dynamics play in food web stability, species coexistence, and population resilience, especially quantifying the trophic niche’s expansion and contraction of coastal fish populations experiencing increasing frequency of environmental disturbance and habitat transformation. In coastal ecosystems, disturbances alter the connectivity, productivity, and nutrient regimes of aquatic habitats, which could lead to significant shifts in consumers’ trophic niches. We investigated the trophic niche dynamics of two fish species Centropomus undecimalis (Common Snook) and Megalops atlanticus (Atlantic Tarpon), across two adjacent coastal lake systems of varying nutrient regimes (eutrophic vs. mesotrophic) and hydrological connectivity. In both systems, Snook had larger trophic niches than Tarpon. Also, the trophic niche size in the eutrophic system was larger than the mesotrophic system for both species. Snook and Tarpon used different prey resources, resulting in low niche overlap between species in both systems. Our results highlight how altered hydrological connectivity, and nutrient regimes can shift trophic niche dynamics of higher trophic-level consumers, likely due to changes in prey landscapes and shifts in the foraging ecology of species.